Prediction
US to Impose Secondary Sanctions on Three Major Chinese State-Owned Banks by Q1 2027
The Treasury and State Department will target Bank of China, China Construction Bank, and Agricultur…
Predictions
What Happens Next
Bold, falsifiable calls on the next two years. One signal, one thesis, a date to judge us by.
Prediction
Snapdragon 8 Gen 5 Phones Run 13B-Parameter Models Locally, Passing 25 Percent On-Device Inference Share by Q4 2027
Qualcomm's 45 TOPS Hexagon NPU and on-device Stable Diffusion 3.5 demos on Gen 4 reference hardware …
Prediction
Three of the Five Largest US Tech Employers Will Mandate a Four-Day Office Week by End of 2027
The labor market advantage of remote flexibility has been neutralized by internal performance data. …
Prediction
TSMC Arizona Ships 10,000 Wafers Per Month of 4nm Chips by Q1 2027
Equipment move-in completed ahead of schedule and CHIPS Act funds are released. The physical constra…
Prediction
SpaceX Completes First Orbital Propellant Transfer Between Two Starships by June 2027
NASA's Human Landing System contract requires an orbital propellant transfer test before a crewed lu…
Prediction
First US 300 MW small modular reactor connects to grid by Q4 2027
An SMR-160 unit secures its combined license and reaches commercial operation before the end of 2027…
Prediction
ECB launches retail digital euro by March 2028
The ECB will move from wholesale pilots to a live retail digital euro across the euro area by Q1 202…
Prediction
Samsung and Xiaomi Ship 7B On-Device Multimodal Models on Flagship Phones by Q2 2027
Qualcomm and MediaTek silicon now sustains the necessary throughput. Google and Microsoft have the c…
Prediction
South Korea to Confirm US B61 Forward Deployment at Osan by Q1 2027
A new bilateral nuclear-sharing agreement will place American tactical nuclear weapons on the Korean…
Prediction
At Least Three US States Will Mandate 32-Hour Workweeks at Full Pay for AI-Augmented Roles by Q2 2027
California, New York, and Washington are poised to enact laws requiring employers with over 500 work…
Prediction
BYD Opens European Assembly Plant in Hungary, Reaches 150,000 Annual Output by Q3 2027
The Szeged facility moves from pilot-scale knockdown kits to full stamping, welding, and paint, trig…
Prediction
BOJ to Hike Policy Rate to 1.25% by Q4 2027, Yen Strengthens Below 125 per USD
Persistent inflation above 2% and shunto wage settlements exceeding 4% will force the BOJ to normali…
Prediction
SpaceX Demonstrates Orbital Starship Refueling and NASA Certifies Success by March 2027
A ship-to-ship propellant transfer in low Earth orbit, verified by NASA telemetry, will retire the s…
Prediction
NuScale VOYGR Plant at INL Connects to PJM Grid by September 2027
The NuScale VOYGR plant at the Idaho National Laboratory site receives its operating license in Q4 2…
Prediction
FDA grants full approval to a senolytic for non-oncology indication by December 2027
Unity Biotechnology's UBX1325 or an acquired asset will complete a pivotal trial in diabetic macular…
Prediction
Ukraine Joins the European Union by Q4 2027
The December 2027 accession treaty, driven by legislative harmonization and the collapse of the Hung…
Prediction
Qualcomm Snapdragon 8 Gen 5 Phones Run 13B Multimodal Models Locally at 45 Tokens Per Second by Q1 2027
The Snapdragon 8 Gen 5 will run a 13B-parameter multimodal model locally at over 45 tokens per secon…
Prediction
Prime-Age Female Labor-Force Participation Falls Below 74.0 Percent in Q2 2027
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will report a rate of 73.9 percent or lower, driven by the expirat…
Prediction
TSMC Arizona Fab 2 Begins Volume 3nm Shipments for US Clients by Mid-2027
Equipment move-in accelerated ahead of schedule in 2026, and two US customers are already in advance…
Prediction
SpaceX wins sole-source for 40% of US national security launches by mid-2027
The U.S. Space Force will abandon its three-provider model and award SpaceX at least 40 percent of i…
Prediction
BOJ Policy Rate Reaches 1.5 Percent by Q1 2027, USD/JPY Falls Below 125
The BOJ will be forced to normalize aggressively as domestic wage and price data overshoot its own f…
Prediction
At Least Three US States Will Mandate Solar-Plus-Storage on New Homes by End of 2027
New York and Massachusetts will join California in codifying rooftop solar and battery requirements …
Prediction
FDA Approves UBX1325 for Diabetic Macular Edema with Senolytic Mechanism on Label
Unity Biotechnology secures full approval by June 2027. The label states reduction of senescent cell…
Prediction
US and Japan to sign Taiwan mutual-defense treaty by Q1 2027
The July 2026 2+2 statement and Kyushu missile deployments signal a shift from strategic ambiguity t…
Prediction
Android flagships ship with on-device 7B models as standard by Q2 2027
Qualcomm and MediaTek silicon will run multimodal 7B-plus parameter models entirely on NPUs with no …
Prediction
ECB Launches Live Digital Euro Retail Payments to 5 Million Accounts by March 2027
The ECB will move from wholesale experiments to live consumer payments by early 2027, activating a p…
Prediction
SpaceX Lands an Uncrewed Starship on the Moon by June 2027
A variant of the vehicle already flying test campaigns will touch down on the Moon’s south pole, ful…
Prediction
NuScale VOYGR Plant Begins Commercial Operation at Idaho National Lab by Mid-2028
The first U.S. small modular reactor will dispatch power to the grid before the end of Q2 2028, foll…
Prediction
France to import over 15 TWh from Germany and Spain as heatwave shuts 10 GW of nuclear in Q3 2027
River-water cooling constraints will force at least three shutdown events exceeding 10 GW total capa…
Prediction
Apple ships iPhone with 8B on-device model hitting 25 tokens per second by Q4 2027
The A19 Pro NPU on TSMC 2 nm reaches the thermal and throughput thresholds needed for fully offline …