Prediction
ECB Launches Live Digital Euro Retail Payments to 5 Million Accounts by March 2027
The ECB will move from wholesale experiments to live consumer payments by early 2027, activating a p…
Predictions
What Happens Next
Bold, falsifiable calls on the next two years. One signal, one thesis, a date to judge us by.
Prediction
SpaceX Lands an Uncrewed Starship on the Moon by June 2027
A variant of the vehicle already flying test campaigns will touch down on the Moon’s south pole, ful…
Prediction
NuScale VOYGR Plant Begins Commercial Operation at Idaho National Lab by Mid-2028
The first U.S. small modular reactor will dispatch power to the grid before the end of Q2 2028, foll…
Prediction
France to import over 15 TWh from Germany and Spain as heatwave shuts 10 GW of nuclear in Q3 2027
River-water cooling constraints will force at least three shutdown events exceeding 10 GW total capa…
Prediction
Apple ships iPhone with 8B on-device model hitting 25 tokens per second by Q4 2027
The A19 Pro NPU on TSMC 2 nm reaches the thermal and throughput thresholds needed for fully offline …
Prediction
AI Displaces 1.2 Million Net US Service Jobs in 2027
BLS data for calendar year 2027 will show at least 1.2 million net full-time job losses attributable…
Prediction
SpaceX Completes First Orbital Starship Refueling Demo by March 2027
Two Starships will transfer cryogenic propellant in low Earth orbit no later than Q1 2027, fulfillin…
Prediction
PBOC to Settle 35 Percent of China’s Crude Imports in Yuan via CIPS by Mid-2027
Direct yuan settlement pilots with Saudi Aramco and a 62 percent surge in CIPS volume set the path f…
Prediction
FDA fully approves a senolytic for IPF progression by March 2028
Unity Biotechnology’s UBX1325 or a fast follower clears Phase 3 and secures full approval for reduci…
Prediction
NATO invites Ukraine to begin accession talks with 2030 target at July 2027 summit
The June 2026 NATO foreign ministers communiqué removed the requirement for full conflict resolution…
Prediction
NuScale VOYGR SMR reaches commercial operation at Idaho National Laboratory by 31 December 2027
The first grid-connected small modular reactor clears regulatory and site-prep milestones in 2025 an…
Prediction
The US Will Sign a Bilateral Security Treaty with Ukraine Granting Permanent Basing Rights by Q1 2027
The shift from wartime aid to permanent force posture is already underway. Congressional authorizati…
Prediction
NuScale VOYGR Reaches Commercial Operation at Idaho National Lab Before 30 June 2028
The 60 MW plant moves from construction start in 2026 to grid connection, validating the factory-bui…
Prediction
NuScale SMR Will Achieve Commercial Grid Connection in the US by December 2027
The first NuScale small modular reactor will deliver commercial power to the US grid by Q4 2027, shi…
Prediction
Apple Ships 40 Million MacBooks With a 120-TOPS Neural Engine by Q1 2027
Apple’s M5 generation will prioritize neural engine density over traditional CPU cores, transforming…
Prediction
One U.S. State Will Mandate Bidirectional EV Chargers in All New Homes by End of 2027
California’s 2025 building code already requires bidirectional hardware in commercial buildings. A r…
Prediction
Arizona Ships 1.4 nm Wafers to Apple and Nvidia by June 2028
TSMC will ramp Fab 18 to at least 5,000 wafers per month of A14 silicon for its two largest customer…
Prediction
Patched Zcash Orchid Pool Reaches 25 Billion TVL by Q4 2027 as Default Privacy Layer for Two Top Lending Protocols
The coordinated fix after the 2026 reentrancy disclosure turns Orchid into production-grade infrastr…
Prediction
TSMC Will Ship 50,000 1.4 nm Wafers Per Month From Arizona by Q3 2027
The semiconductor supply chain is collapsing inward toward Phoenix. The 2026 acceleration data makes…
Prediction
China Will Commission Its First Indigenous 2 nm Fab Line With >50,000 WPM Capacity by September 2027
The volume and specificity of tooling procurement, combined with a $30 billion state-funded subsidy …
Prediction
Beijing to Ban New Coal Plants Without Carbon Capture After 2027
A leaked regulatory directive and a step change in storage economics combine to make continued coal …
Prediction
India Will Export $25 Billion in Smartphones by FY2028, Surpassing Vietnam
Apple's contracted capacity expansion with Foxconn and Tata forces a rewrite of global electronics t…
Prediction
The HBM3E Gate Will Close by March 2027
A standalone rule targeting high-bandwidth memory for AI training chips will sever the last high-vol…
Prediction
BYD Will Sell More Than 1.2 Million Battery-Electric Vehicles Outside China in 2027, Surpassing Tesla’s Non-China Deliveries
The crossing point arrives not because Tesla slows down but because BYD’s distributed manufacturing …
Prediction
Brussels Will Impose a Permanent 25%+ Tariff on Chinese EVs by Q1 2027, Ending the Negotiated Cap Fantasy
The provisional duties of May 2026 were not a negotiating tactic. They were a down payment. The Euro…
Prediction
The First Gigawatt-Hour Iron-Air Battery Will Be Online in the U.S. by Q3 2027
Form Energy’s multi-day storage chemistry will cross the 1 GWh threshold in full commercial operatio…
Prediction
The Arizona 2 nm Wafer Will Reach Cupertino Before the 2027 Equinox
TSMC’s Fab 21 Phase 2 will exit the clean-room build by Q1 2026, qualify 2 nm by mid-2027, and ship …
Prediction
India Will Surpass China as the Top Smartphone Exporter by Unit Volume in 2027
A 38 percent export surge in India colliding with a 12 percent contraction in China is not a cyclica…
Prediction
CRISPR Will Cut Cholesterol Before the Decade Does
The first in-vivo gene editing therapy for a mass-market condition wins FDA approval by September 20…
Prediction
Qualcomm’s Snapdragon 9 Gen 4 Will Ship on TSMC N2 Before the 2027 iPhone Launch
A proving run in a flagship Android line, likely Samsung’s Galaxy S28, will break Apple’s lock on le…