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The Frontrunners Predicts

by Q4 2027Contrarian

FDA will fully approve a senolytic for an age-related indication by 2027

by Q1 2028Base case

First 300 MW floating offshore wind farm in US federal waters reaches commercial operation by March 2028

by Q1 2028High conviction

United States files Article 13 notice to leave NATO by March 2028

by Q2 2027Contrarian

Two G7 Central Banks to Link Policy Rates to Eldercare Labor Shortage Index by Q2 2027

by Q1 2027High conviction

SpaceX Completes First Orbital Propellant Transfer and Uncrewed Lunar Landing by March 2027

All →

Editorial

LLNL’s AI 3D Printing Inspection Maps Layers During Fabrication

A camera-and-computer-vision system measures deposited material as direct-ink-printed parts take shape. Tech B…

Sep 29 · 4 min

Editorial

Greenhouse robot crop monitoring: Qingdao team links 27 light bands to tomato seedling readings

A four-wheeled robot developed at Qingdao Agricultural University uses laser navigation and an image-based qua…

Sep 28 · 4 min

Editorial

TPU v7 Beats GB200 by 57% on Kimi K3, Inferact Reports

Inferact measured 709 tokens per second on 16 TPU v7 chips against 452 on 16 GB200s. The comparison also chang…

Sep 28 · 1 min

Editorial

Georgia Tech Engineers Turn the Human Body Into a Wireless Network for Implants

The SWANS system uses tissue itself as the transmission medium, letting injectable sensors and actuators talk …

Sep 25 · 6 min

NEAR and Ondo Bring 20 Tokenized Stocks to Cross-Chain Access

Analysis

NEAR and Ondo Bring 20 Tokenized Stocks to Cross-Chain Access

The September 22 launch puts Ondo products within reach through near.com and NEAR Intents, extending blockchain abstraction across more than 30 chains without natively issuing all 20 assets on NEAR Protocol.

The Frontrunners Editorial · September 30, 2026

Video & Podcast

Podcast

A Regime-Based Playbook for Trading Beyond the QE Era

Oct 5

Video

Iran, Multipolarity, and the Limits of American Leverage

Oct 5

Video

Peptide Bioregulators and Biological Age: What the Clinical Results Actually Show

Oct 3

Video

Bitcoin Core v30 Is a Policy Test, Not a Consensus Fork

Sep 30

Podcast

How DreamZero Turns Video Prediction Into a Zero-Shot Robot Policy

Sep 28

Latest

AI Youth Job Losses Korea: 94% of Lost Roles Were AI-Exposed

Editorial

AI Youth Job Losses Korea: 94% of Lost Roles Were AI-Exposed

Sep 24

CorTec Brain Interchange FDA Designation Doubles, Pressuring Rivals

Editorial

CorTec Brain Interchange FDA Designation Doubles, Pressuring Rivals

Sep 22

Pentagon demands AI that fuses 5 GB of space sensor data into a threat alert in under two seconds

Editorial

Pentagon demands AI that fuses 5 GB of space sensor data into a threat alert in under two seconds

Sep 22

More

Podcast

How to Actually Evaluate Longevity Interventions: An Evidence Framework from the Scientist Who Ran the Dog Aging Project

A leading aging scientist dissects the real evidence behind rapamycin, NAD+, and peptides—…

Sep 22

Video

Why the First Reprogramming Trial Is the iPhone 1, Not the iPhone 10

Shift Bioscience's CEO unpacks why the first epigenetic reprogramming trials are just the …

Sep 22

PredictionsBold, falsifiable calls on the next two years.

Explore all predictions →

FDA will fully approve a senolytic for an age-related indication by 2027

Prediction

FDA will fully approve a senolytic for an age-related indication by 2027

At least one senolytic compound will receive full FDA approval for an age-related disease by 31 Dece…

Oct 3, 2026 · 4 min

First 300 MW floating offshore wind farm in US federal waters reaches commercial operation by March 2028

Prediction

First 300 MW floating offshore wind farm in US federal waters reaches commercial operation by March 2028

A 300 MW floating array in federal waters will reach commercial operation by Q1 2028, anchored by Ca…

Sep 25, 2026 · 4 min

United States files Article 13 notice to leave NATO by March 2028

Prediction

United States files Article 13 notice to leave NATO by March 2028

Congressional testimony and bilateral security deals in 2026 move withdrawal from contingency planni…

Sep 24, 2026 · 4 min

Two G7 Central Banks to Link Policy Rates to Eldercare Labor Shortage Index by Q2 2027

Prediction

Two G7 Central Banks to Link Policy Rates to Eldercare Labor Shortage Index by Q2 2027

The Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank are already quantifying unpaid family care as a meas…

Sep 22, 2026 · 4 min

SpaceX Completes First Orbital Propellant Transfer and Uncrewed Lunar Landing by March 2027

Prediction

SpaceX Completes First Orbital Propellant Transfer and Uncrewed Lunar Landing by March 2027

A pair of Starship vehicles will dock in low Earth orbit and transfer hundreds of tons of liquid oxy…

Sep 22, 2026 · 4 min

Mexico passes 28 percent of US auto parts imports by Q3 2027

Prediction

Mexico passes 28 percent of US auto parts imports by Q3 2027

Q2 2026 Census data shows Mexican auto parts imports at 24.7 percent share and growing 19 percent ye…

Sep 22, 2026 · 4 min

Android devices run most AI inference on-device by Q4 2027

Prediction

Android devices run most AI inference on-device by Q4 2027

Qualcomm and MediaTek NPUs already clear the performance bar, and OEM pilots on Pixel and Galaxy dev…

Sep 22, 2026 · 3 min

ECB to mandate full retail digital euro rollout by 30 June 2027

Prediction

ECB to mandate full retail digital euro rollout by 30 June 2027

The ECB will mandate all euro-area banks to offer digital euro accounts to retail customers, trigger…

Sep 22, 2026 · 4 min

Explore all predictions →

EditorialReported analysis from the frontier.

Explore all editorials →

NEAR and Ondo Bring 20 Tokenized Stocks to Cross-Chain Access

Editorial

NEAR and Ondo Bring 20 Tokenized Stocks to Cross-Chain Access

The September 22 launch puts Ondo products within reach through near.com and NEAR Intents, extending…

Sep 30, 2026 · 4 min

LLNL’s AI 3D Printing Inspection Maps Layers During Fabrication

Editorial

LLNL’s AI 3D Printing Inspection Maps Layers During Fabrication

A camera-and-computer-vision system measures deposited material as direct-ink-printed parts take sha…

Sep 29, 2026 · 4 min

Greenhouse robot crop monitoring: Qingdao team links 27 light bands to tomato seedling readings

Editorial

Greenhouse robot crop monitoring: Qingdao team links 27 light bands to tomato seedling readings

A four-wheeled robot developed at Qingdao Agricultural University uses laser navigation and an image…

Sep 28, 2026 · 4 min

TPU v7 Beats GB200 by 57% on Kimi K3, Inferact Reports

Editorial

TPU v7 Beats GB200 by 57% on Kimi K3, Inferact Reports

Inferact measured 709 tokens per second on 16 TPU v7 chips against 452 on 16 GB200s. The comparison …

Sep 28, 2026 · 1 min

Georgia Tech Engineers Turn the Human Body Into a Wireless Network for Implants

Editorial

Georgia Tech Engineers Turn the Human Body Into a Wireless Network for Implants

The SWANS system uses tissue itself as the transmission medium, letting injectable sensors and actua…

Sep 25, 2026 · 6 min

AI Youth Job Losses Korea: 94% of Lost Roles Were AI-Exposed

Editorial

AI Youth Job Losses Korea: 94% of Lost Roles Were AI-Exposed

Korea lost 280,000 youth jobs in four years. 268,000 were in roles AI could already do. The entry-le…

Sep 24, 2026 · 6 min

CorTec Brain Interchange FDA Designation Doubles, Pressuring Rivals

Editorial

CorTec Brain Interchange FDA Designation Doubles, Pressuring Rivals

The same non-penetrating implant now holds designations for stroke rehab and cursor control, putting…

Sep 22, 2026 · 4 min

Pentagon demands AI that fuses 5 GB of space sensor data into a threat alert in under two seconds

Editorial

Pentagon demands AI that fuses 5 GB of space sensor data into a threat alert in under two seconds

The Space Threat Intelligence Synthesis Engine must ingest live video, radar, satellite imagery, and…

Sep 22, 2026 · 3 min

Saudi Arabia's 110 Million Tonnes of Uranium Ore Is a Grade Story, Not a Supply Story

Editorial

Saudi Arabia's 110 Million Tonnes of Uranium Ore Is a Grade Story, Not a Supply Story

The Kingdom's Madinah discovery has no disclosed grade, no resource classification, and no mine plan…

Sep 22, 2026 · 5 min

A Fruit Fly Brain Simulation Is Now Running in Doom and Minecraft

Editorial

A Fruit Fly Brain Simulation Is Now Running in Doom and Minecraft

The complete Drosophila connectome, published September 3, is already running in Doom, Minecraft, an…

Sep 11, 2026 · 5 min

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VideoLong-form from people building at the edge.

Browse all videos →

Video

Video

Iran, Multipolarity, and the Limits of American Leverage

Professor Radhika Desai argues that the Iran war is best understood not as a single-country crisis b…

Oct 5, 2026 · 2 min

Video

Video

Peptide Bioregulators and Biological Age: What the Clinical Results Actually Show

Bill Lawrence presents a multi-year effort to test peptide bioregulators against telomere and DNA-me…

Oct 3, 2026 · 2 min

Video

Video

Bitcoin Core v30 Is a Policy Test, Not a Consensus Fork

Antoine Poinsot separates what Core’s v30 changes can actually do from what they cannot—and explains…

Sep 30, 2026 · 2 min

Video

Video

Why the First Reprogramming Trial Is the iPhone 1, Not the iPhone 10

Shift Bioscience's CEO unpacks why the first epigenetic reprogramming trials are just the iPhone 1, …

Sep 22, 2026 · 2 min

Video

Video

The Real Bottleneck in Fab Water Reuse Isn’t What You Think

Dr. Paul Westerhoff breaks down why conventional ultrapure water trains miss low-molecular-weight or…

Sep 22, 2026 · 2 min

Video

Video

Why India's Rare Earth Strategy Should Start in the Scrapyard, Not the Mine

A data-driven look at how India can build a strategic buffer against China's rare earth dominance—no…

Sep 11, 2026 · 2 min

Video

Video

AI Won't Replace Expertise—It Will Redefine It

MIT economist David Autor dismantles the job apocalypse narrative and explains why the real action i…

Sep 7, 2026 · 2 min

Video

Video

The Weekend That Broke the Atom Ceiling

A conversation with Alain Richardt on how a weekend coding sprint unlocked 700,000-atom simulations—…

Sep 7, 2026 · 2 min

Browse all videos →

PodcastHigh-signal conversations, contextualized.

All podcasts →

Podcast

Podcast

A Regime-Based Playbook for Trading Beyond the QE Era

Dirk Willer lays out practical tools for identifying macro regimes, testing market narratives, and n…

Oct 5, 2026 · 2 min

Podcast

Podcast

How DreamZero Turns Video Prediction Into a Zero-Shot Robot Policy

NVIDIA researcher Seonghyeon Ye explains DreamZero, a 14B-parameter model that jointly predicts vide…

Sep 28, 2026 · 2 min

Podcast

Podcast

How to Actually Evaluate Longevity Interventions: An Evidence Framework from the Scientist Who Ran the Dog Aging Project

A leading aging scientist dissects the real evidence behind rapamycin, NAD+, and peptides—separating…

Sep 22, 2026 · 3 min

Podcast

Podcast

A Data-Rich Map of China's Manufacturing Overcapacity and Its Move Into AI

Brad Setser maps the scale of China's manufacturing overcapacity and its move into advanced sectors,…

Sep 22, 2026 · 2 min

Podcast

Podcast

The Specific Algorithm That Could Unfreeze LLMs

Rich Sutton and Khurram Javed argue that LLMs are stuck in a local minimum because they don't contin…

Sep 22, 2026 · 3 min

Podcast

Podcast

What Fusion Ignition Actually Took: Iterative Design, Failed Pancake Shots, and the Manufacturing Bottleneck After the Breakthrough

Annie Kritcher, lead designer of the first controlled fusion ignition, explains the iterative design…

Sep 22, 2026 · 3 min

Podcast

Podcast

The Engineering Stack Behind Making Rain on Demand

A founder-engineer breaks down the full-stack challenge of weather modification: dual-polarization r…

Sep 9, 2026 · 3 min

Podcast

Podcast

The Exact Math of How a Quantum Computer Breaks Your Consensus Layer

Alex Pruden dismantles Michael Saylor's quantum security claims by detailing the specific attack vec…

Sep 9, 2026 · 2 min

All podcasts →